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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+3.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+7.46vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.77vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.60+3.22vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-0.90vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-1.00vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-3.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-1.97vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-5.24vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota1.75-1.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.39vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.22Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.34Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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6.76Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Allison Prange | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 33.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.