Race 3A

yale

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Sam Tobin 6.1% 6.7% 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 8.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.4% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 5.7% 4.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Nathan Sih 6.8% 9.1% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.5% 6.7% 5.3% 5.1% 4.2% 2.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Thomas Styron 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 9.4% 7.8% 7.3% 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 3.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Mateo Farina 12.9% 11.6% 11.1% 10.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 5.9% 3.6% 4.7% 2.6% 2.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 4.9% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 5.6% 4.0% 4.7% 6.7% 5.2% 5.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.3% 9.4% 6.3% 7.0% 4.1% 2.1%
George Higham 7.0% 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.8% 4.6% 6.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9%
Oliver Stokke 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.9% 8.5% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 6.1% 4.6% 4.6% 2.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Bradley Whiteway 4.8% 7.1% 6.6% 6.0% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 8.1% 6.1% 5.0% 5.4% 7.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Charlotte Costikyan 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 4.3% 6.6% 7.1% 6.3% 6.7% 8.5% 7.6% 7.1% 5.9% 2.7% 1.2%
Peter McGonagle 4.3% 4.0% 3.6% 4.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 7.1% 6.7% 8.4% 8.7% 7.3% 5.9% 2.8%
Ryan Mckinney 4.1% 2.6% 3.6% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.1% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 8.0% 8.7% 7.6% 8.6% 3.8%
Charles Bresnahan 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 4.0% 6.4% 6.4% 9.1% 10.9% 18.8% 17.6%
Mason Stang 11.9% 11.4% 10.7% 7.5% 10.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 5.7% 4.6% 3.9% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Emily Mueller 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.3% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 5.4% 7.4% 8.0% 6.7% 5.3% 3.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Connor Macken 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 5.6% 7.1% 7.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.5%
Luke Hosek 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 4.3% 3.1% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 7.9% 7.7% 6.9% 8.3% 9.0% 9.0% 3.9%
Andrew Powers 2.0% 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 5.7% 5.9% 8.1% 14.6% 19.6% 15.2%
Luke Slosar 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 9.6% 15.9% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.