Race 2A

yale-z420

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Harris Padegs 9.4% 11.5% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 9.8% 8.4% 8.3% 6.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 1.1%
Katherine McNamara 13.7% 11.3% 12.3% 10.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 6.2% 4.1% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Jack Roman 12.1% 13.1% 10.8% 10.1% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5%
William Bailey 7.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 7.4% 5.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.4%
Liam Gronda 2.9% 2.4% 3.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 6.3% 6.4% 8.6% 10.3% 12.1% 15.2% 12.8%
Ximena Escobar 10.2% 7.8% 8.7% 11.0% 9.9% 8.3% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 6.3% 5.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Beck Lorsch 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.0% 5.3% 8.3% 8.6% 11.7% 15.4% 20.8%
William Bedford 11.4% 13.0% 9.2% 11.2% 9.8% 9.1% 8.0% 7.8% 6.4% 5.0% 3.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Jean-Michel Bus 4.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 4.3% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 8.9% 11.3% 11.4% 10.6% 10.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 12.8% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 8.2% 11.2% 8.1% 6.4% 5.2% 4.8% 2.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 1.8% 2.8% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 4.5% 5.6% 5.6% 6.5% 10.0% 10.3% 16.6% 26.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.5% 3.7% 5.4% 3.5% 5.8% 7.2% 6.3% 6.8% 8.7% 11.6% 11.0% 9.3% 9.1% 8.1%
Fritz Baldauf 4.2% 5.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 7.8% 7.8% 10.2% 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 10.1% 5.5%
Sam Rifkind-Brown 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 3.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 5.2% 6.5% 9.1% 11.4% 12.7% 12.4% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.