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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+1.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+0.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.05+0.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+0.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08-2.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.84-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Dartmouth College1.7134.8%1st Place
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2.64Boston College1.5624.4%1st Place
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3.33Bowdoin College0.0513.5%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.185.0%1st Place
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2.96Tufts University1.0819.4%1st Place
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5.19Harvard University-0.843.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 34.8% | 27.7% | 20.9% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Nick Budington | 24.4% | 25.9% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 13.5% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 26.1% | 17.2% | 5.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 35.7% | 31.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 19.4% | 21.3% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Christina Chen | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 23.2% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.