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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.72+2.65vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.18vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.63vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.65-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.28-2.06vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-1.12-0.10vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.97-0.25vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-3.06-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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3.18The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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3.63Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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2.42Clemson University1.650.3%1st Place
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2.94University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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5.9The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.75The Citadel-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.54The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 17.3% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.7% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 25.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wurch | 33.1% | 24.5% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 21.3% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 46.6% | 26.2% | 5.9% |
| William Woodward | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 19.5% | 46.8% | 24.8% |
| Walter Prause | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 5.2% | 22.3% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.