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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.65+1.38vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.11+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.72-0.26vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.12+0.93vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-2.42vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.97-0.26vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-3.06-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Clemson University1.650.3%1st Place
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3.17The Citadel1.110.2%1st Place
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2.94University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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3.74University of South Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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5.93The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.58Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.74The Citadel-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.52The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Wurch | 33.4% | 26.7% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 17.0% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 21.0% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 25.5% | 10.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 44.7% | 28.6% | 5.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.9% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Woodward | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 19.5% | 46.2% | 25.1% |
| Walter Prause | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 20.7% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.