← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University-0.58+3.89vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina0.72+1.21vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel1.11-0.33vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.28-1.55vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.79-1.88vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-1.12-0.40vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel-1.97-0.43vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-3.06-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
3.21University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
-
2.67The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
-
2.45University of South Carolina1.280.3%1st Place
-
3.12Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
-
5.6The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.57The Citadel-1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.49The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Bialek | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 28.4% | 27.7% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
| Ian Street | 16.2% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 23.3% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 26.5% | 24.4% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 31.7% | 22.9% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.3% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 35.6% | 22.7% | 5.4% |
| William Woodward | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 18.2% | 42.0% | 24.2% |
| Walter Prause | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 21.1% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.