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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.72+1.21vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.58+1.91vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.28-2.50vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-1.12-0.40vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.97-0.42vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-3.06-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
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3.21University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
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4.91Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.11Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.5University of South Carolina1.280.3%1st Place
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5.6The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.58The Citadel-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.45The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.9% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 16.3% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 27.5% | 28.1% | 11.4% | 2.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.1% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 29.5% | 26.6% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 18.6% | 35.4% | 22.9% | 5.3% |
| William Woodward | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 19.2% | 41.7% | 24.2% |
| Walter Prause | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 20.7% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.