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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.64vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.72-0.82vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.58-0.05vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-1.12-0.38vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.97-0.43vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-3.06-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
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3.11Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.46University of South Carolina1.280.3%1st Place
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3.18University of South Carolina0.720.2%1st Place
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4.95Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.62The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.57The Citadel-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.46The Citadel-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 26.3% | 25.2% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.5% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 29.7% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 17.8% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 27.9% | 28.6% | 11.4% | 1.7% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 19.5% | 35.3% | 22.5% | 5.6% |
| William Woodward | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 17.9% | 42.7% | 24.2% |
| Walter Prause | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 20.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.