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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.17+1.33vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.25+2.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.01+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.65vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.89vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Dartmouth College1.1734.2%1st Place
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4.02Boston University0.2510.8%1st Place
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4.17Northeastern University0.0110.4%1st Place
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5.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.2%1st Place
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6.65University of New Hampshire-1.542.2%1st Place
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5.97Bentley University-1.103.5%1st Place
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5.11University of New Hampshire-0.615.9%1st Place
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2.65Salve Regina University0.4627.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 34.2% | 28.1% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 9.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 47.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 25.5% | 25.1% |
| James Frady | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 11.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 27.0% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.