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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+4.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+3.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+2.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.53+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.79+2.58vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.98vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-2.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-4.83vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota1.75-1.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-3.32vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.60-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.27Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.13Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Allison Prange | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 33.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.