Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Monaghan 25.7% 20.4% 19.7% 14.1% 8.5% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Christian Cushman 13.1% 18.6% 16.4% 14.9% 13.3% 9.2% 8.9% 3.8% 1.8%
Ted Lutton 12.9% 12.4% 14.6% 13.2% 13.6% 14.2% 9.4% 6.9% 2.8%
Grace Augspurger 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 6.5% 6.2% 6.7% 14.9% 18.9% 36.8%
Ryan Potter 16.5% 15.8% 15.0% 12.2% 12.2% 11.5% 8.5% 5.6% 2.7%
Henri Richardsson 9.6% 12.9% 11.2% 13.3% 14.2% 14.6% 11.8% 7.7% 4.7%
Kate Myler 4.1% 3.4% 2.9% 6.7% 7.2% 9.4% 13.3% 23.8% 29.2%
James Sullivan 8.6% 6.8% 9.0% 8.8% 13.2% 14.8% 12.0% 17.3% 9.5%
John Van Zanten 7.0% 6.1% 7.3% 10.3% 11.6% 13.3% 17.4% 14.8% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.