← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.68+2.00vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.94vs Predicted
-
3Bates College0.97+1.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.080.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.27-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.34vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.52+0.20vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.39-2.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0Northeastern University1.680.3%1st Place
-
5.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
4.36Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.63University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
-
4.66Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
-
7.2Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
6.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 25.5% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 14.6% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 19.3% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 38.1% |
| James Sullivan | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Kate Myler | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.