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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+1.89vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.52+4.17vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.97+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.08-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.20vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Northeastern University1.680.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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7.17Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.24Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
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6.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.67Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.46University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 26.0% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 12.5% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 40.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Kate Myler | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 13.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| James Sullivan | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.