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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+2.02vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.27+0.74vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.52+3.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.08-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.16vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.25vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Northeastern University1.680.3%1st Place
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4.47Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.75Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.47University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 25.4% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 18.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 37.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Kate Myler | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 23.4% | 29.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| James Sullivan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.