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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.08+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+1.34vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68-3.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.23vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.52-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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4.34Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.63Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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2.9Northeastern University1.680.3%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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7.13Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.44University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 13.6% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 31.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 27.4% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 9.4% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 39.2% |
| James Sullivan | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.