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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+2.72vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+2.48vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.08-0.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.68-2.09vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.52+1.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.39-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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4.48Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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4.71Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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2.91Northeastern University1.680.3%1st Place
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7.08Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.43University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 17.3% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 13.8% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 29.8% | 22.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Augspurger | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| James Sullivan | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.