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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.08+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+0.95vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+0.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.69vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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3.45Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.84Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.31University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 20.7% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 24.5% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 18.1% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 20.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Kate Myler | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 43.6% |
| James Sullivan | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.