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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.08+2.23vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.27-0.01vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
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3.46Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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3.84Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 16.8% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 23.1% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 14.7% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Kate Myler | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 45.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 21.3% |
| James Sullivan | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.