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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.53+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+4.27vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.72+2.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota1.75+3.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.60-0.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-4.07vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-4.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.31vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-3.95vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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5.38Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Adler | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Meghan Pesch | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Allison Prange | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 31.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.