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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+1.94vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08+0.27vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Vermont1.270.3%1st Place
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3.42Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
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3.82Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.27University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 25.5% | 23.6% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 17.3% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 19.3% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 14.9% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 20.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 46.9% |
| James Sullivan | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.