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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.08+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.27-0.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.32vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.81Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.33University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 20.4% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 19.2% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 46.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 22.9% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.9% |
| James Sullivan | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.