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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+2.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+4.10vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.88-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-1.43vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57-3.79vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.79Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.57University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.01Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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7.69Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 19.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Morley | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 13.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 19.8% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Sam Harris | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 12.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| William Procter | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.