← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.90+2.56vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.90vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.88+0.60vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.52vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.37+2.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.57-1.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-0.32-2.04vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.56University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
-
3.9Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.6Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
-
4.52University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
-
7.56Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
-
4.12University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
-
5.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
-
5.96Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
-
5.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 13.7% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 19.7% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Harris | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 53.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 10.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| Michael Morley | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.