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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+2.56vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.91vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.88+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.07vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.32-2.05vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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3.91Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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3.6Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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4.54University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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5.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.95Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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7.68Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 19.7% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 13.4% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 19.2% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sam Harris | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Michael Morley | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 11.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 14.6% |
| William Procter | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.