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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+2.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+4.09vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57+0.07vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.25vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.35-3.37vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.75Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.99Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.63University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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7.7Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 18.8% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Morley | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 14.8% |
| Nalu Ho | 16.9% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 20.9% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 10.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 12.2% |
| Sam Harris | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| William Procter | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.