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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.79+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.90+1.71vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.88+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.57+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35-0.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-0.08vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.24vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Vermont0.900.1%1st Place
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3.58Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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4.53University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.0Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nalu Ho | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Luke Quine | 14.7% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 20.2% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 15.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Sam Harris | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Michael Morley | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 12.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 12.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| William Procter | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.