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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.88+2.59vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.32+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.90+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.54vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.37+2.52vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.57-2.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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6.19Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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4.54University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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7.52Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.71Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 19.1% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 22.1% | 15.7% |
| Luke Quine | 19.9% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sam Harris | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| William Procter | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 50.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Michael Morley | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.