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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.57+0.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30+0.95vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32-0.01vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.84vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Vermont0.900.3%1st Place
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3.84University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.99Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.16Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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4.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 26.1% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Sam Harris | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 16.0% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Michael Morley | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 27.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 28.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 21.9% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.