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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.57+2.38vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.90-1.03vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32+0.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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3.1Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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3.9University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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5.02Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Derby | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 21.2% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Sam Harris | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% |
| Luke Quine | 24.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 29.3% |
| Michael Morley | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 27.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.