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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.72vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.79+5.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.53+1.76vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.60+4.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35-0.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-1.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.72-3.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.75-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.17Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 12.6% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Jennifer Adler | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 10.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| Meghan Pesch | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.5% |
| Allison Prange | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.