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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.90+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.57+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-0.06vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.86vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Vermont0.900.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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3.9University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.14Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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4.81Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Quine | 26.2% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 17.5% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Sam Harris | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 24.8% |
| Michael Morley | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 27.8% |
| Nalu Ho | 21.9% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.