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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.57+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.90+0.92vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.14vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.32+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35-1.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Vermont0.570.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
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3.14Maine Maritime Academy0.790.2%1st Place
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5.01Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.91University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Derby | 18.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Luke Quine | 24.4% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 22.5% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 29.3% |
| Sam Harris | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Michael Morley | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 26.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.