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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.92vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.04-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.22Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.77Syracuse University0.040.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
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3.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 21.1% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 14.8% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 25.0% |
| William Hagen | 22.9% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| Stanley Galloway | 26.4% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
| Lauren Manney | 14.8% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.