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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.73vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+1.21vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.04-0.21vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02-1.11vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
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3.21Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.79Syracuse University0.040.2%1st Place
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2.89Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.39Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Galloway | 25.0% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 15.5% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 24.7% |
| William Hagen | 23.0% | 23.3% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 21.5% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 16.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 15.0% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.