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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.92vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.40vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+0.19vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.04-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.14-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.19Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.79Syracuse University0.040.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 21.6% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.1% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 29.7% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 16.4% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 25.1% |
| William Hagen | 23.7% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 14.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 25.2% | 22.6% | 23.1% | 16.2% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.