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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.08+0.88vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+0.05vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-2.46+0.91vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.39vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-3.37-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Pittsburgh-0.080.4%1st Place
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2.05Syracuse University-0.260.4%1st Place
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3.91Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
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2.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.2%1st Place
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4.56Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 42.4% | 33.4% | 18.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 35.5% | 31.9% | 25.6% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Allen Underwood III | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 51.2% | 26.5% |
| Jonah Nelson | 16.9% | 26.1% | 38.4% | 16.0% | 2.6% |
| Heath Megnin | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.