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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.08+0.87vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94+0.61vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-2.46-1.04vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-3.37-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Pittsburgh-0.080.4%1st Place
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2.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.2%1st Place
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2.0Syracuse University-0.260.4%1st Place
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3.96Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.57Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 42.9% | 32.9% | 19.2% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Nelson | 17.2% | 24.2% | 41.1% | 15.7% | 1.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 35.7% | 35.4% | 22.7% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Allen Underwood III | 3.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 52.0% | 28.0% |
| Heath Megnin | 1.2% | 1.4% | 6.1% | 22.0% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.