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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.08+0.87vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+0.01vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-0.38vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-2.46-0.05vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-3.37-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Pittsburgh-0.080.4%1st Place
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2.01Syracuse University-0.260.4%1st Place
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2.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.95Hamilton College-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.55Syracuse University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 42.2% | 34.4% | 18.0% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 35.5% | 34.6% | 24.1% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Nelson | 17.8% | 23.4% | 40.0% | 16.6% | 2.2% |
| Allen Underwood III | 3.2% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 51.2% | 28.0% |
| Heath Megnin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 21.9% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.