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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.54vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.26+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.68vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.94-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Hamilton College-0.020.3%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.32University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
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3.68Syracuse University-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 27.4% | 25.3% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 8.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 19.5% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 12.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 34.3% | 25.2% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| John Colby | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 37.1% |
| Jonah Nelson | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.