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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+4.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.72+6.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.60+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+4.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.97vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+0.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53-1.26vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.75+1.72vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-4.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.61vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Pennsylvania2.790.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.36Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Meghan Pesch | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Adler | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Allison Prange | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 32.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.