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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+2.08vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+1.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.56-0.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+0.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71-2.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.84-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Tufts University1.0817.5%1st Place
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3.24Bowdoin College0.0516.0%1st Place
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2.62Boston College1.5624.3%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.2%1st Place
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2.25Dartmouth College1.7135.2%1st Place
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5.14Harvard University-0.842.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oliver Keeves | 17.5% | 19.7% | 21.5% | 23.4% | 14.1% | 3.8% |
Benjamin Stevens | 16.0% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 25.4% | 16.1% | 5.1% |
Nick Budington | 24.3% | 25.8% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
Lucas Escandon | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 35.8% | 31.6% |
bella casaretto | 35.2% | 28.0% | 19.9% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
Christina Chen | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.