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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.40+1.34vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.25-0.51vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-0.27vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Hamilton College0.400.3%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Pittsburgh0.250.3%1st Place
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3.73Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.59Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 32.8% | 27.3% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| Alexa Whitman | 19.6% | 22.5% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 12.5% |
| Ridgeway Case | 29.1% | 25.0% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 38.3% |
| Maren Behnke | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 24.2% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.