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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+2.70vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.67+1.61vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.40-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.25-1.50vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.03-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.61Syracuse University-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.34Hamilton College0.400.3%1st Place
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2.5University of Pittsburgh0.250.3%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Franklin | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 23.4% | 38.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 26.6% | 33.2% |
| Ethan Stone | 32.1% | 28.3% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Ridgeway Case | 28.3% | 25.6% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 7.5% |
| Alexa Whitman | 20.7% | 21.3% | 24.7% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.