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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+2.47vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+0.56vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-1.05+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.25-1.77vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.40-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.56Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.75Hamilton College-1.050.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Pittsburgh0.250.4%1st Place
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2.98Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Franklin | 12.2% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 31.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 24.7% | 27.9% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 7.9% |
| Renata Altuzar Barcenas | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 25.6% | 39.9% |
| Ridgeway Case | 35.2% | 27.2% | 21.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.0% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 22.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.