← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.40+0.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Pittsburgh0.25-0.01vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-0.03-0.79vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85Hamilton College0.400.4%1st Place
-
1.99University of Pittsburgh0.250.3%1st Place
-
2.21Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
-
3.96Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 41.2% | 33.8% | 24.2% | 0.8% |
| Ridgeway Case | 33.2% | 35.2% | 30.9% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 25.4% | 30.7% | 41.7% | 2.2% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.2% | 0.3% | 3.2% | 96.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.