Race 10A

women-president

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Amanda Johnson 7.0% 4.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 6.6% 8.0% 8.3% 7.6% 6.3% 5.6%
Jennifer Adler 10.8% 12.6% 10.9% 10.1% 8.5% 9.8% 7.8% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.5% 0.6%
Allison Prange 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 3.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.3% 10.7% 16.3% 30.2%
Claire Dennis 10.7% 11.0% 10.4% 10.4% 8.6% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 5.5% 3.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.9%
Jamie Curran 3.6% 3.0% 2.6% 4.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 5.5% 7.0% 9.1% 12.3% 12.6% 17.4%
Meghan Pesch 4.3% 5.4% 5.0% 5.4% 6.0% 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.0% 7.6% 3.5%
Lauren Turner 10.7% 6.9% 10.0% 9.0% 9.0% 7.6% 9.4% 8.3% 7.1% 6.9% 4.8% 3.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.6%
Chanel Miller 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 6.6% 7.6% 7.1% 7.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.7% 8.6% 5.5% 6.4% 4.7% 2.8%
Lara Dallman-Weiss 4.1% 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 7.8% 8.7% 9.7% 5.0%
Krysta Rohde 7.5% 9.6% 9.6% 7.6% 9.1% 6.8% 9.4% 8.8% 6.5% 6.7% 6.2% 4.8% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0%
Phoebe Sprague 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.7% 9.4% 7.5%
Maggie Shea 11.9% 11.6% 11.0% 11.6% 8.6% 9.0% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.0% 9.6% 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 5.3%
Mia Cooper 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.8% 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 10.9% 11.6% 14.4% 17.7%
Chandler Salisbury 8.1% 10.1% 6.8% 7.8% 10.4% 7.8% 6.9% 6.4% 8.7% 7.1% 6.3% 6.2% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.