Race 4 - coho | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.8

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Caleb Keister & Andrew Dixon

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.15

+1.55

vs Predicted
2

kai rauch & Margaret Myers-Aldous

University of Rhode Island

0.98

-0.21

vs Predicted
3

Patrick McCarron & Patrick York

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.29

-0.54

vs Predicted
4

Ryan Magill & Morgan Bittmann

SUNY Stony Brook

-0.55

-0.80

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.55

Caleb Keister & Andrew Dixon

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.15

0.2%

1st Place
1.79

kai rauch & Margaret Myers-Aldous

University of Rhode Island

0.98

0.5%

1st Place
2.46

Patrick McCarron & Patrick York

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.29

0.2%

1st Place
3.2

Ryan Magill & Morgan Bittmann

SUNY Stony Brook

-0.55

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Caleb Keister	20.6%	27.3%	29.0%	23.1%
kai rauch	47.7%	30.2%	17.5%	4.6%
Patrick McCarron	22.4%	28.1%	30.4%	19.1%
Ryan Magill	9.3%	14.4%	23.1%	53.2%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.