Race 5 - coho | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

kai rauch & Margaret Myers-Aldous

University of Rhode Island

0.98

+0.78

vs Predicted
2

Patrick McCarron & Patrick York

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.29

+0.45

vs Predicted
3

Caleb Keister & Andrew Dixon

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.15

-0.40

vs Predicted
4

Ryan Magill & Morgan Bittmann

SUNY Stony Brook

-0.55

-0.82

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.78

kai rauch & Margaret Myers-Aldous

University of Rhode Island

0.98

0.5%

1st Place
2.45

Patrick McCarron & Patrick York

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.29

0.2%

1st Place
2.6

Caleb Keister & Andrew Dixon

U. S. Merchant Marine Academy

0.15

0.2%

1st Place
3.18

Ryan Magill & Morgan Bittmann

SUNY Stony Brook

-0.55

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
kai rauch	48.5%	31.0%	14.5%	6.0%
Patrick McCarron	22.8%	28.5%	30.1%	18.6%
Caleb Keister	19.3%	25.8%	30.8%	24.1%
Ryan Magill	9.4%	14.7%	24.6%	51.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.