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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.98+0.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.15-0.26vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-1.31+0.26vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island0.980.5%1st Place
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2.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.2%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.150.2%1st Place
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4.26Stevens Institute of Technology-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 46.5% | 27.2% | 16.5% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Patrick McCarron | 21.7% | 28.6% | 26.3% | 18.2% | 5.2% |
| Caleb Keister | 19.1% | 23.9% | 28.5% | 21.1% | 7.4% |
| Anthony Webster | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 20.9% | 59.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.0% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 32.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.