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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.98+0.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.15+0.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.54vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78University of Rhode Island0.980.5%1st Place
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2.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.150.2%1st Place
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2.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.2%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 49.2% | 30.4% | 13.7% | 6.7% |
| Caleb Keister | 19.2% | 26.1% | 32.1% | 22.6% |
| Patrick McCarron | 22.1% | 29.2% | 29.3% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.5% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.