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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
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2.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 40.9% | 33.2% | 18.9% | 7.0% |
| William Hussey | 36.2% | 35.0% | 21.8% | 7.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 14.9% | 19.3% | 35.1% | 30.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.0% | 12.5% | 24.2% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.